Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1162.009428 1325.793349 1510.343566 1734.861341 2002.179988 2312.208547 2701.795038
2025-06-01 918.326793 1130.866999 1394.571151 1750.623702 2226.309354 2850.903370 3751.857564
2025-06-08 782.749289 1011.300456 1312.876491 1749.088711 2379.663885 3284.055240 4729.683275
2025-06-15 702.258806 943.030417 1277.064111 1788.782380 2580.150269 3807.084207 5961.529716
2025-06-22 614.056222 848.744508 1186.897119 1728.330634 2611.280601 4068.918465 6836.754397
2025-06-29 546.181366 773.648693 1112.174898 1675.407847 2638.005501 4319.820127 7753.879196
2025-07-06 488.619402 706.604445 1040.082047 1613.595552 2634.894472 4511.972241 8608.529423
2025-07-13 466.277291 690.380158 1044.209849 1676.569918 2858.594249 5167.526187 10638.613690
2025-07-20 438.952201 663.027612 1026.462722 1697.921333 3007.597796 5709.391457 12615.917935
2025-07-27 415.591646 639.506895 1011.942205 1722.011182 3164.812927 6304.668970 14968.046809
2025-08-03 393.594558 615.987354 994.519557 1737.541999 3306.420514 6899.769537 17587.579836
2025-08-10 380.453939 606.121181 999.723098 1796.804359 3551.520099 7804.508932 21584.150569
2025-08-17 364.716613 591.018074 995.095812 1838.568615 3773.358011 8737.381233 26313.670231
2025-08-24 346.541468 570.105919 977.738648 1852.198157 3934.890355 9569.329927 31296.483249
2025-08-31 328.417503 547.646733 954.978392 1850.763932 4059.357723 10338.809226 36633.377276
2025-09-07 316.875695 536.279635 952.470934 1893.326664 4305.082497 11563.857169 45072.239269
2025-09-14 295.127248 504.036115 905.418012 1828.492050 4253.291752 11821.833660 49075.319894
2025-09-21 276.161109 475.765919 864.005266 1771.762425 4213.830210 12114.765153 53604.787751
2025-09-28 257.901451 447.658759 820.685688 1705.541511 4136.305149 12255.312074 57470.514614
2025-10-05 253.367252 445.944422 832.057804 1773.007773 4462.149255 14011.526839 73762.653213
2025-10-12 245.157546 436.332768 825.776781 1795.891746 4660.134741 15367.978171 89534.725717
2025-10-19 237.722875 427.734210 820.888923 1821.716447 4874.410537 16900.074152 109632.293768
2025-10-26 230.046503 418.103878 812.875821 1838.368925 5063.886541 18425.740706 133105.738430